Saturday, November 01, 2008
Not Again I Hope
The dramatic surge against the Labour Party in the UK 1992 General Election, against all opinion poll data, was actually used as inspiration by the Clinton campaign later that year to avert the same occurrence. However, Labour's policies, especially on taxation, were far more left wing than anything Obama is even close to proposing in his platform. Also, Labour's previous stint in power in the UK, from 1975 to 1979 had coincided with a national economic meltdown. For this reason I don't see the same thing happening this Tuesday, as Clinton's time in office is much more re-assuring to voters in Obama's favor.
However, I can remember nothing more nationally traumatizing than the Labour defeat in 1992. It was against all expectations and extended the Conservative term in power from 12 to 17 years. The nation had to wait another 5 years until a triumphant 1997 and a Tony Blair victory. But, it was well worth the wait.